Guinea vs Benin prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Guinea to win @ 3.30 – our chance 35% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Guinea 1.1 – 1.2 Benin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Guinea and Benin on our numbers – 35% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 25% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Guinea have taken 1 points from their last 1 matches (0W 1D 0L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 2.0 per game. Benin have 3 points from their last 1 (1W 0D 0L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. Benin come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.1 for Guinea, 1.2 for Benin). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 53%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13%), 0–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%).
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.55. For a bigger price, Guinea to win at 3.30 is our value angle (35% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Benin to win ✓ | 39% | 2.55 | 2.15 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 53% | 1.88 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 79% | 1.26 | 1.18 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.17 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Benin / FT Benin ✓ | 21% | 4.66 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✓ | 12% | 8.47 | – |
Form
Guinea – last 1
| 27 Mar | vs Togo | 2–2 | D |
Benin – last 1
| 27 Mar | vs Liberia | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guinea and Benin.
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Switzerland0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Guinea vs Benin?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Guinea vs Benin?
On our numbers Guinea have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Benin 39%.
How many goals will there be in Guinea vs Benin?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
When is Guinea vs Benin?
Guinea vs Benin (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.