Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Kairat Almaty to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKairat Almaty to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceKairat Almaty or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.47
Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty preview and prediction
The match
Zhenys host Kairat Almaty in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Astana Arena. Zhenys are 8th with 36 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Kairat Almaty sit 2nd on 65 points (in the top four). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Zhenys's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kyzyl-Zhar 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kairat Almaty's last 5: DWWLD Most recently they drew with Ulytau 1–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Zhenys arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 0.6 for Zhenys and 1.6 for Kairat Almaty. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Value angle: Kairat Almaty to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Zhenys 0–1 Kairat Almaty. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zhenys15%fair 6.55 · @4.80
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.30
Kairat Almaty64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
2.16Expected goals
0.57Zhenys xG
1.59Kairat Almaty xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
1–28%
0–38%
From our goals model: Zhenys 0.6 – 1.6 Kairat Almaty expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kairat Almaty to win✓
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Kairat Almaty or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kairat Almaty / FT Kairat Almaty✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.47
–
Form
Zhenys – last 6
WWWWWL
13 May
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
2–0
W
9 May
@ Zhetysu
3–2
W
3 May
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
3–2
W
19 Apr
vs Aktobe
1–0
W
12 Apr
@ Kyzyl-Zhar
0–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kairat Almaty – last 6
DWWLDW
10 May
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
6 May
@ Kaisar
2–1
W
2 May
@ Irtysh
1–0
W
29 Apr
@ Kaisar
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Yelimay Semey
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Jaiyq
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zhenys and Kairat Almaty.
What is the prediction for Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
On our numbers Zhenys have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kairat Almaty 64%.
How many goals will there be in Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
Our predicted score is Zhenys 0–1 Kairat Almaty, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty?
Zhenys vs Kairat Almaty (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Astana Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
