Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Kaisar to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Tobol Kostanay to win ✗41% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.72
Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Kaisar take on FK Tobol Kostanay on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Kaysar Arena. Kaisar are 16th with 25 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while FK Tobol Kostanay sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kaisar's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Aktobe 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
FK Tobol Kostanay's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Zhenys 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
FK Tobol Kostanay arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Kaisar and 1.2 for FK Tobol Kostanay. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaisar 35%, draw 24%, FK Tobol Kostanay 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Kaisar to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Kaisar 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaisar35%fair 2.89 · @3.20
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
FK Tobol Kostanay41%fair 2.43 · @2.15
2.19Expected goals
1.03Kaisar xG
1.16FK Tobol Kostanay xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Kaisar 1.0 – 1.2 FK Tobol Kostanay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Tobol Kostanay to win✗
41%
2.43
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Tobol Kostanay / FT FK Tobol Kostanay✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.72
–
Form
Kaisar – last 6
LLWDDL
10 May
@ Aktobe
0–3
L
6 May
vs Kairat Almaty
1–2
L
29 Apr
vs Kairat Almaty
2–1
W
25 Apr
@ Okzhetpes
1–1
D
19 Apr
vs Altay
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Atyrau
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Tobol Kostanay – last 6
LWWLWL
3 May
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
29 Apr
@ FC Astana
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Kaspiy
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Ulytau
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ Ansat
8–0
W
4 Apr
@ Yelimay Semey
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaisar and FK Tobol Kostanay.
What is the prediction for Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
On our numbers Kaisar have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and FK Tobol Kostanay 41%.
How many goals will there be in Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Our predicted score is Kaisar 1–1 FK Tobol Kostanay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay?
Kaisar vs FK Tobol Kostanay (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kaysar Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
