Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAktobe to win ✗59% · @1.77
Double chanceAktobe or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Aktobe vs Atyrau preview and prediction
The match
Aktobe host Atyrau in the Premier League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at Koblandy Batyr Stadium. Aktobe are 5th with 49 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Atyrau sit 13th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Aktobe's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Kaisar 3–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Atyrau's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with Okzhetpes 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.4 for Aktobe and 0.6 for Atyrau. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aktobe 59%, draw 23%, Atyrau 18%.
Safer route: Aktobe or draw (82%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Aktobe 1–0 Atyrau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aktobe59%fair 1.71 · @1.77
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.25
Atyrau18%fair 5.44 · @4.40
2.08Expected goals
1.44Aktobe xG
0.64Atyrau xG
48%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–013%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Aktobe 1.4 – 0.6 Atyrau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aktobe to win✗
59%
1.71
1.77
Double chance
Aktobe or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aktobe / FT Aktobe✗
34%
2.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.54
–
Form
Aktobe – last 6
WWLWDL
10 May
vs Kaisar
3–0
W
30 Apr
vs Yelimay Semey
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Arys
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Atyrau – last 6
DWLLWW
9 May
@ Okzhetpes
0–0
D
3 May
vs Altay
1–0
W
29 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs Kyzyl-Zhar
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Kaisar
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Jas Qyran
4–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aktobe and Atyrau.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Aktobe vs Atyrau?
On our numbers Aktobe have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atyrau 18%.
How many goals will there be in Aktobe vs Atyrau?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aktobe vs Atyrau?
Our predicted score is Aktobe 1–0 Atyrau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Aktobe vs Atyrau?
Aktobe vs Atyrau (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Koblandy Batyr Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
