Value bet: Yelimay Semey to win @ 2.23 – our chance 49% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYelimay Semey to win ✗49% · @2.23
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.52
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.02
Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Ulytau take on Yelimay Semey on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Stadion Metallurg. Ulytau are 9th with 35 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Yelimay Semey sit 6th on 45 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Ulytau's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Altay 2–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Yelimay Semey's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Aktobe 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Ulytau and 1.5 for Yelimay Semey. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.
Value angle: Yelimay Semey to win at 2.23 – 49% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Ulytau 1–1 Yelimay Semey. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ulytau29%fair 3.50 · @3.06
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @2.98
Yelimay Semey49%fair 2.05 · @2.23
2.63Expected goals
1.09Ulytau xG
1.53Yelimay Semey xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Ulytau 1.1 – 1.5 Yelimay Semey expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Yelimay Semey to win✗
49%
2.05
2.23 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.52
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.64
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Yelimay Semey / FT Yelimay Semey✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.02
–
Form
Ulytau – last 6
DLWWDD
30 Apr
@ Altay
2–2
D
26 Apr
@ Zhetysu
0–2
L
19 Apr
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Altay
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Taraz
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Aktobe
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Yelimay Semey – last 6
LDWWDD
30 Apr
@ Aktobe
1–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Turan Turkistan
4–1
W
4 Apr
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–0
W
16 Mar
vs Altay
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Okzhetpes
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ulytau and Yelimay Semey.
What is the prediction for Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey?
On our numbers Ulytau have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Yelimay Semey 49%.
How many goals will there be in Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey?
Our predicted score is Ulytau 1–1 Yelimay Semey, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey?
Ulytau vs Yelimay Semey (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Metallurg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
