The Premier League sees Ordabasy take on Aktobe on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov. Ordabasy are 1st with 68 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Aktobe sit 5th on 49 points (in the top half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ordabasy's last 4: WWWW Most recently they beat Kaspiy 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aktobe's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Yelimay Semey 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Ordabasy arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Ordabasy and 1.1 for Aktobe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ordabasy 44%, draw 24%, Aktobe 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.31. Predicted score: Ordabasy 1–1 Aktobe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ordabasy44%fair 2.26 · @2.26
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @2.89
Aktobe32%fair 3.11 · @3.10
2.54Expected goals
1.40Ordabasy xG
1.14Aktobe xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Ordabasy 1.4 – 1.1 Aktobe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ordabasy to win
44%
2.26
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.31
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.82
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.31
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ordabasy / FT Ordabasy
25%
3.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
9.04
–
Form
Ordabasy – last 4
WWWW
30 Apr
vs Kaspiy
3–0
W
8 Apr
@ Akademiya Ontustik
4–2
W
20 Mar
vs Kaisar
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Zhenys
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aktobe – last 6
WLWDLW
30 Apr
vs Yelimay Semey
2–1
W
19 Apr
@ Zhenys
0–1
L
9 Apr
@ Arys
4–0
W
5 Apr
@ Ulytau
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Kairat Almaty
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ordabasy and Aktobe.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Ordabasy vs Aktobe?
On our numbers Ordabasy have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Aktobe 32%.
How many goals will there be in Ordabasy vs Aktobe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ordabasy vs Aktobe?
Our predicted score is Ordabasy 1–1 Aktobe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ordabasy vs Aktobe?
Ordabasy vs Aktobe (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
