Kaspiy host FC Astana in the Premier League on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Zhestar Stadium. Kaspiy are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while FC Astana sit 3rd on 54 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kaspiy's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Ordabasy 0–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
FC Astana's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to FK Tobol Kostanay 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
FC Astana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.6 for Kaspiy and 2.0 for FC Astana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kaspiy 11%, draw 20%, FC Astana 69%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.89.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Kaspiy 0–2 FC Astana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaspiy11%fair 8.78 · @7.50
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @3.82
FC Astana69%fair 1.45 · @1.40
2.63Expected goals
0.65Kaspiy xG
1.98FC Astana xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–214%
0–39%
1–19%
1–29%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kaspiy 0.6 – 2.0 FC Astana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Astana to win
69%
1.45
1.40
Double chance
FC Astana or draw
89%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
1.89
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.44
1.38
Half-time result
FC Astana ahead at half-time
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Astana / FT FC Astana
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.00
–
Form
Kaspiy – last 6
LLWLDL
30 Apr
@ Ordabasy
0–3
L
26 Apr
@ FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
9 Apr
@ Ekibastuz
4–0
W
5 Apr
vs Zhetysu
0–1
L
22 Mar
@ Altay
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Okzhetpes
1–3
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
FC Astana – last 6
LWLWDW
29 Apr
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
1–2
L
8 Apr
@ BKS
2–1
W
5 Apr
@ Kairat Almaty
0–4
L
20 Mar
vs FK Tobol Kostanay
2–0
W
16 Mar
@ Kaisar
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Zhetysu
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaspiy and FC Astana.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kaspiy vs FC Astana?
On our numbers Kaspiy have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and FC Astana 69%.
How many goals will there be in Kaspiy vs FC Astana?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaspiy vs FC Astana?
Our predicted score is Kaspiy 0–2 FC Astana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kaspiy vs FC Astana?
Kaspiy vs FC Astana (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhestar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
