Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.28Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.25 – our chance 56% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +81%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗56% · @3.25
Double chanceGreece or draw ✗84% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.82
Greece vs Paraguay preview and prediction
The match
Paraguay travel to Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium in the Friendlies on Friday 27 March (20:00 WAT) to face Greece.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Greece and 1.1 for Paraguay. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Greece 28%, draw 56%, Paraguay 16%.
Safer route: Greece or draw (84%) at 1.28.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Draw at 3.25 – 56% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Greece or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.20, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Greece 1–1 Paraguay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Greece28%fair 3.56 · @2.10
Draw56%fair 1.80 · @3.25
Paraguay16%fair 6.12 · @3.50
2.47Expected goals
1.36Greece xG
1.11Paraguay xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Greece 1.4 – 1.1 Paraguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
56%
1.80
3.25 ▲
Double chance
Greece or draw✗
84%
1.20
1.28 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Greece / FT Greece✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.82
–
Form
Greece
No recent results on record.
Paraguay
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Greece and Paraguay.
Our pick is Greece or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Greece vs Paraguay?
On our numbers Greece have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Paraguay 16%.
How many goals will there be in Greece vs Paraguay?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Greece vs Paraguay?
Our predicted score is Greece 1–1 Paraguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Greece vs Paraguay?
Greece vs Paraguay (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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