Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Veles to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVeles to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceVeles or draw ✗80% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.44
Veles vs Rodina Moskva II preview and prediction
The match
Veles host Rodina Moskva II in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 3 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Avangard Stadium.
Form guide
Veles's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Kaluga 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rodina Moskva II's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Leningradets 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Veles arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Rodina Moskva II 0–0 Veles.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Veles and 0.8 for Rodina Moskva II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Veles 55%, draw 24%, Rodina Moskva II 20%.
Safer route: Veles or draw (80%) at 1.21.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.86.
Value angle: Veles to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Veles or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Veles 1–0 Rodina Moskva II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Veles55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.18
Rodina Moskva II20%fair 4.93 · @3.50
2.26Expected goals
1.49Veles xG
0.77Rodina Moskva II xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
1–112%
2–012%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Veles 1.5 – 0.8 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Veles vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our pick is Veles or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Veles vs Rodina Moskva II?
On our numbers Veles have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Rodina Moskva II 20%.
How many goals will there be in Veles vs Rodina Moskva II?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Veles vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our predicted score is Veles 1–0 Rodina Moskva II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Veles vs Rodina Moskva II?
Veles vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leningradets1
Irtysh Omsk1
Torpedo Miass1
Tekstilshchik1