Value bet: Novosibirsk to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNovosibirsk to win ✗45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.81
Torpedo Miass vs Novosibirsk preview and prediction
The match
Novosibirsk travel to Trud stadium in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 3 May (12:00 WAT) to face Torpedo Miass.
Form guide
Torpedo Miass's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Irtysh Omsk 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Novosibirsk's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Tekstilshchik 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Novosibirsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Novosibirsk 3–0 Torpedo Miass.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Torpedo Miass and 1.4 for Novosibirsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Novosibirsk to win at 2.45 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Torpedo Miass 1–1 Novosibirsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Torpedo Miass34%fair 2.93 · @2.49
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.30
Novosibirsk45%fair 2.23 · @2.45
2.65Expected goals
1.21Torpedo Miass xG
1.44Novosibirsk xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Torpedo Miass 1.2 – 1.4 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Torpedo Miass vs Novosibirsk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Torpedo Miass vs Novosibirsk?
On our numbers Torpedo Miass have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Novosibirsk 45%.
How many goals will there be in Torpedo Miass vs Novosibirsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Torpedo Miass vs Novosibirsk?
Our predicted score is Torpedo Miass 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Torpedo Miass vs Novosibirsk?
Torpedo Miass vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Leningradets1
Irtysh Omsk1
Veles0
Tekstilshchik1