Value bet: Tekstilshchik to win @ 1.83 – our chance 58% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultTekstilshchik to win ✓58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Tekstilshchik vs Rodina Moskva II preview and prediction
The match
The Second League A Fall Season Gold sees Tekstilshchik take on Rodina Moskva II on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Stadion Tekstilshchik.
Form guide
Tekstilshchik's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Leningradets 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Rodina Moskva II's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Volgar Astrakhan 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Tekstilshchik and 0.8 for Rodina Moskva II. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tekstilshchik 58%, draw 20%, Rodina Moskva II 22%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Tekstilshchik to win at 1.83 – 58% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Tekstilshchik 1–0 Rodina Moskva II. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tekstilshchik58%fair 1.71 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.34
Rodina Moskva II22%fair 4.65 · @3.74
2.43Expected goals
1.61Tekstilshchik xG
0.82Rodina Moskva II xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Tekstilshchik 1.6 – 0.8 Rodina Moskva II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tekstilshchik to win✓
58%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tekstilshchik / FT Tekstilshchik✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.07
–
Form
Tekstilshchik – last 6
LLLWWD
12 Apr
@ Leningradets
2–3
L
8 Apr
vs Torpedo Miass
2–3
L
4 Apr
vs Veles
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Volgar Astrakhan
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Kaluga
4–1
W
15 Mar
@ Mashuk-KMV
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rodina Moskva II – last 6
WDDLLD
12 Apr
vs Volgar Astrakhan
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Kaluga
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Mashuk-KMV
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Novosibirsk
0–1
L
22 Mar
vs Irtysh Omsk
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Veles
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tekstilshchik and Rodina Moskva II.
What is the prediction for Tekstilshchik vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Tekstilshchik vs Rodina Moskva II?
On our numbers Tekstilshchik have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rodina Moskva II 22%.
How many goals will there be in Tekstilshchik vs Rodina Moskva II?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tekstilshchik vs Rodina Moskva II?
Our predicted score is Tekstilshchik 1–0 Rodina Moskva II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tekstilshchik vs Rodina Moskva II?
Tekstilshchik vs Rodina Moskva II (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Tekstilshchik.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Torpedo Miass0
Leningradets1
Veles2
Irtysh Omsk0