Kaluga host Novosibirsk in the Second League A Fall Season Gold on Sunday 19 April, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Orbita stadium. Kaluga are 10th with 11 points from 17 games (in the bottom three), while Novosibirsk sit 5th on 22 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Kaluga's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Irtysh Omsk 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Novosibirsk's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Mashuk-KMV 2–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Novosibirsk arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.1 for Kaluga and 1.5 for Novosibirsk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 60%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kaluga 1–1 Novosibirsk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kaluga32%fair 3.10 · @2.75
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.28
Novosibirsk47%fair 2.14 · @2.25
2.60Expected goals
1.15Kaluga xG
1.46Novosibirsk xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Kaluga 1.1 – 1.5 Novosibirsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Novosibirsk to win✓
47%
2.14
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.66
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.29
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Novosibirsk / FT Novosibirsk✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.26
–
Form
Kaluga – last 6
WDLLLW
12 Apr
@ Irtysh Omsk
1–0
W
8 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva II
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Leningradets
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Torpedo Miass
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Tekstilshchik
1–4
L
15 Mar
@ Volgar Astrakhan
3–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Novosibirsk – last 6
DLWWLW
12 Apr
vs Mashuk-KMV
2–2
D
8 Apr
@ Veles
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ Irtysh Omsk
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Rodina Moskva II
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Leningradets
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Torpedo Miass
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kaluga and Novosibirsk.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
On our numbers Kaluga have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Novosibirsk 47%.
How many goals will there be in Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
Our predicted score is Kaluga 1–1 Novosibirsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kaluga vs Novosibirsk?
Kaluga vs Novosibirsk (Second League A Fall Season Gold) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Orbita stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Torpedo Miass0
Leningradets1
Veles2
Tekstilshchik2
Irtysh Omsk0