Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaringá to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceMaringá or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.79
Maringá vs Barra preview and prediction
The match
Maringá host Barra in the Serie C on Sunday 23 August, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT). Maringá are 1st with 11 points from 6 games, while Barra sit 17th on 21 points.
Form guide
Maringá's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Confiança 1–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Barra's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat AO Itabaiana 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Maringá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Maringá and 0.9 for Barra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Maringá 59%, draw 22%, Barra 19%.
Safer route: Maringá or draw (81%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Maringá to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Maringá 1–0 Barra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maringá59%fair 1.69 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.20
Barra19%fair 5.24 · @4.60
2.79Expected goals
1.85Maringá xG
0.94Barra xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Maringá 1.9 – 0.9 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maringá to win✓
59%
1.69
1.67
Double chance
Maringá or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Maringá ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maringá / FT Maringá✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.79
–
Form
Maringá – last 6
DLDWWD
16 Aug
@ Confiança
1–1
D
9 Aug
vs Amazonas
0–3
L
28 Jul
@ Floresta
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Anápolis
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Volta Redonda
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Inter De Limeira
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
WLLLWL
16 Aug
vs AO Itabaiana
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Ituano
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Santa Cruz
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Confiança
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Floresta
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maringá and Barra.
Our pick is Maringá to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Maringá vs Barra?
On our numbers Maringá have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Barra 19%.
How many goals will there be in Maringá vs Barra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maringá vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Maringá 1–0 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Maringá vs Barra?
Maringá vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
