Value bet: Maringá to win @ 2.62 – our chance 42% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaringá to win ✗42% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.64
Confiança vs Maringá preview and prediction
The match
Confiança host Maringá in the Serie C on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT). Confiança are 20th with 13 points from 19 games, while Maringá sit 1st on 11 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Confiança's last 5: LDLLD Most recently they lost to Paysandu 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Maringá's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Amazonas 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Maringá arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Confiança and 1.4 for Maringá. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Maringá to win at 2.62 – 42% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Confiança 1–1 Maringá. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Confiança34%fair 2.93 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Maringá42%fair 2.39 · @2.62
2.58Expected goals
1.21Confiança xG
1.37Maringá xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.2 – 1.4 Maringá expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maringá to win✗
42%
2.39
2.62 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maringá / FT Maringá✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.64
–
Form
Confiança – last 6
LDLLDW
11 Aug
@ Paysandu
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs AO Itabaiana
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
4 Jul
vs Barra
1–2
L
29 Jun
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
22 Jun
vs Guarani Campinas
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Maringá – last 6
LDWWDD
9 Aug
vs Amazonas
0–3
L
28 Jul
@ Floresta
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Anápolis
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs Volta Redonda
4–0
W
27 Jun
@ Inter De Limeira
2–2
D
21 Jun
@ Caxias
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Confiança and Maringá.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Confiança vs Maringá?
On our numbers Confiança have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Maringá 42%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Maringá?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Maringá?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–1 Maringá, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs Maringá?
Confiança vs Maringá (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
