Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarra to win ✓62% · @1.95
Double chanceBarra or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓18% · fair 5.45
Barra vs AO Itabaiana preview and prediction
The match
Barra host AO Itabaiana in the Serie C on Sunday 16 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT). Barra are 17th with 21 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while AO Itabaiana sit 19th on 17 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Barra's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Ituano 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AO Itabaiana's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Caxias 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AO Itabaiana arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for Barra and 0.6 for AO Itabaiana. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Barra 62%, draw 25%, AO Itabaiana 14%.
Safer route: Barra or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Barra to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Barra 1–0 AO Itabaiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Barra62%fair 1.62 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
AO Itabaiana14%fair 7.25 · @3.90
2.14Expected goals
1.56Barra xG
0.58AO Itabaiana xG
47%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Barra 1.6 – 0.6 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra to win✓
62%
1.62
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Barra or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra / FT Barra✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
18%
5.45
–
Form
Barra – last 6
LLLWLD
8 Aug
@ Ituano
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–1
L
12 Jul
vs Santa Cruz
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Confiança
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Floresta
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Amazonas
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AO Itabaiana – last 6
LDWWWL
9 Aug
vs Caxias
0–2
L
25 Jul
@ Confiança
1–1
D
13 Jul
vs Brusque
1–0
W
7 Jul
@ Amazonas
2–0
W
27 Jun
vs Ferroviária
1–0
W
20 Jun
@ Anápolis
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barra and AO Itabaiana.
Our pick is Barra to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Barra vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Barra have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and AO Itabaiana 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barra vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barra vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Barra 1–0 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Barra vs AO Itabaiana?
Barra vs AO Itabaiana (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
