Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Ypiranga-RS to win @ 1.91 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultYpiranga-RS to win ✓58% · @1.91
Double chanceYpiranga-RS or draw ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.82
Ypiranga-RS vs Barra preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Ypiranga-RS take on Barra on Sunday 26 July, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT). Ypiranga-RS are 9th with 29 points from 19 games (in the top half), while Barra sit 17th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Ypiranga-RS's last 5: LWDWD Most recently they lost to Maranhão 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Barra's last 5: LWLDL Most recently they lost to Santa Cruz 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Ypiranga-RS and 0.8 for Barra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ypiranga-RS 58%, draw 26%, Barra 16%.
Safer route: Ypiranga-RS or draw (84%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Ypiranga-RS to win at 1.91 – 58% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ypiranga-RS or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ypiranga-RS 1–0 Barra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ypiranga-RS58%fair 1.72 · @1.91
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.25
Barra16%fair 6.40 · @3.65
2.44Expected goals
1.68Ypiranga-RS xG
0.76Barra xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
3–07%
From our goals model: Ypiranga-RS 1.7 – 0.8 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ypiranga-RS to win✓
58%
1.72
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Ypiranga-RS or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ypiranga-RS / FT Ypiranga-RS✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.82
–
Form
Ypiranga-RS – last 6
LWDWDL
12 Jul
@ Maranhão
1–2
L
5 Jul
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
29 Jun
vs Confiança
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
16 Jun
vs Botafogo PB
1–1
D
31 May
@ Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
LWLDLD
12 Jul
vs Santa Cruz
1–2
L
4 Jul
@ Confiança
2–1
W
27 Jun
@ Floresta
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Amazonas
1–1
D
16 Jun
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
17 May
@ Anápolis
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ypiranga-RS and Barra.
Our pick is Ypiranga-RS or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ypiranga-RS vs Barra?
On our numbers Ypiranga-RS have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Barra 16%.
How many goals will there be in Ypiranga-RS vs Barra?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ypiranga-RS vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Ypiranga-RS 1–0 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Ypiranga-RS vs Barra?
Ypiranga-RS vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
