Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Ituano to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrusque to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.19
Brusque vs Ituano preview and prediction
The match
Ituano travel to face Brusque in the Serie C on Sunday 26 July (20:00 WAT). Brusque are 3rd with 7 points from 6 games, while Ituano sit 15th on 22 points. A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Brusque's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to AO Itabaiana 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ituano's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Ferroviária 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Brusque arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Brusque and 1.1 for Ituano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brusque 43%, draw 24%, Ituano 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Ituano to win at 3.20 – 33% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Brusque 1–1 Ituano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brusque43%fair 2.31 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @2.95
Ituano33%fair 3.02 · @3.20
2.35Expected goals
1.28Brusque xG
1.07Ituano xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Brusque 1.3 – 1.1 Ituano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusque to win✓
43%
2.31
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brusque / FT Brusque✓
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.19
–
Form
Brusque – last 6
LWLWLW
13 Jul
@ AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
6 Jul
vs Figueirense
3–1
W
1 Jul
@ Botafogo PB
0–2
L
21 Jun
vs Floresta
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Santa Cruz
0–1
L
24 May
vs Anápolis
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ituano – last 6
LLDDDL
12 Jul
vs Ferroviária
1–3
L
4 Jul
@ Santa Cruz
0–1
L
29 Jun
vs Maranhão
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
14 Jun
@ AO Itabaiana
2–2
D
30 May
@ Caxias
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brusque and Ituano.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Brusque vs Ituano?
On our numbers Brusque have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ituano 33%.
How many goals will there be in Brusque vs Ituano?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brusque vs Ituano?
Our predicted score is Brusque 1–1 Ituano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Brusque vs Ituano?
Brusque vs Ituano (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
