Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMaranhão to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS preview and prediction
The match
Ypiranga-RS travel to face Maranhão in the Serie C on Sunday 12 July (20:00 WAT). Maranhão are 12th with 27 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Ypiranga-RS sit 9th on 29 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Maranhão's last 5: LDLDD Most recently they lost to Inter De Limeira 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ypiranga-RS's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Paysandu 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Ypiranga-RS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Maranhão and 1.0 for Ypiranga-RS. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.93 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Maranhão 1–1 Ypiranga-RS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Maranhão41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Ypiranga-RS34%fair 2.94 · @3.00
2.20Expected goals
1.16Maranhão xG
1.03Ypiranga-RS xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Maranhão 1.2 – 1.0 Ypiranga-RS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maranhão to win✓
41%
2.46
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maranhão / FT Maranhão✓
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Maranhão – last 6
LDLDDD
4 Jul
vs Inter De Limeira
0–1
L
29 Jun
@ Ituano
0–0
D
21 Jun
vs Paysandu
0–1
L
15 Jun
@ Maringá
0–0
D
31 May
@ Anápolis
0–0
D
23 May
vs Caxias
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Ypiranga-RS – last 6
WDWDLL
5 Jul
vs Paysandu
1–0
W
29 Jun
vs Confiança
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ Santa Cruz
1–0
W
16 Jun
vs Botafogo PB
1–1
D
31 May
@ Inter De Limeira
1–2
L
24 May
@ Volta Redonda
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maranhão and Ypiranga-RS.
What is the prediction for Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
On our numbers Maranhão have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ypiranga-RS 34%.
How many goals will there be in Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
Our predicted score is Maranhão 1–1 Ypiranga-RS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS?
Maranhão vs Ypiranga-RS (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
