Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Botafogo PB to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo PB to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chanceBotafogo PB or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.61
Botafogo PB vs Confiança preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo PB host Confiança in the Serie C on Sunday 12 July, with kick-off at 23:30 (WAT) at Jose Americo de Almeida Filho. Botafogo PB are 4th with 5 points from 6 games, while Confiança sit 20th on 13 points.
Form guide
Botafogo PB's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Anápolis 2–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Confiança's last 5: LDWLL Most recently they lost to Barra 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Botafogo PB arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Botafogo PB and 0.6 for Confiança. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Botafogo PB to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Botafogo PB 1–0 Confiança. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo PB63%fair 1.58 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.20
Confiança15%fair 6.48 · @4.00
2.19Expected goals
1.59Botafogo PB xG
0.60Confiança xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Botafogo PB 1.6 – 0.6 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo PB to win✓
63%
1.58
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Botafogo PB or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.94
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo PB / FT Botafogo PB✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.61
–
Form
Botafogo PB – last 6
WWWDWL
6 Jul
@ Anápolis
2–0
W
1 Jul
vs Brusque
2–0
W
20 Jun
vs Volta Redonda
2–0
W
16 Jun
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
30 May
vs Maringá
2–1
W
26 May
@ Ituano
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Confiança – last 6
LDWLLD
4 Jul
vs Barra
1–2
L
29 Jun
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
22 Jun
vs Guarani Campinas
2–0
W
14 Jun
@ Volta Redonda
0–1
L
30 May
@ Floresta
0–1
L
24 May
vs Figueirense
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo PB and Confiança.
What is the prediction for Botafogo PB vs Confiança?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Botafogo PB vs Confiança?
On our numbers Botafogo PB have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Confiança 15%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo PB vs Confiança?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo PB vs Confiança?
Our predicted score is Botafogo PB 1–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Botafogo PB vs Confiança?
Botafogo PB vs Confiança (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 12 July 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Jose Americo de Almeida Filho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
