Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Confiança to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultConfiança to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceConfiança or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.65
Confiança vs Figueirense preview and prediction
The match
The Serie C sees Confiança take on Figueirense on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Confiança are 20th with 13 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Figueirense sit 11th on 28 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Confiança's last 5: WLLLD Most recently they beat Maranhão 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Figueirense's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to AO Itabaiana 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Confiança and 0.6 for Figueirense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Confiança to win at 1.90 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Confiança 1–0 Figueirense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Confiança63%fair 1.59 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Figueirense13%fair 7.60 · @3.95
2.22Expected goals
1.63Confiança xG
0.59Figueirense xG
51%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Confiança 1.6 – 0.6 Figueirense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Confiança to win✗
63%
1.59
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Confiança or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Confiança / FT Confiança✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.65
–
Form
Confiança – last 6
WLLLDL
19 May
vs Maranhão
2–1
W
14 May
vs Gremio
0–3
L
10 May
@ Ituano
0–1
L
7 May
vs Fortaleza EC
1–2
L
30 Apr
vs Vitoria
2–2
D
21 Apr
@ Gremio
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Figueirense – last 6
LLLDLW
16 May
vs AO Itabaiana
0–1
L
5 May
vs Barra
0–3
L
14 Apr
vs Maringá
1–3
L
7 Apr
@ Ypiranga-RS
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ CRB
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Amazonas
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Confiança and Figueirense.
What is the prediction for Confiança vs Figueirense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Confiança vs Figueirense?
On our numbers Confiança have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Figueirense 13%.
How many goals will there be in Confiança vs Figueirense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Confiança vs Figueirense?
Our predicted score is Confiança 1–0 Figueirense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Confiança vs Figueirense?
Confiança vs Figueirense (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
