Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Ferroviária to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmazonas to win ✗41% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.39
Amazonas vs Ferroviária preview and prediction
The match
Ferroviária travel to face Amazonas in the Serie C on Sunday 24 May (20:30 WAT). Amazonas are 13th with 26 points from 19 games, while Ferroviária sit 1st on 11 points. A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Amazonas's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Floresta 2–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Ferroviária's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Brusque 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Amazonas and 1.0 for Ferroviária. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Value angle: Ferroviária to win at 3.50 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Amazonas 1–0 Ferroviária. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Amazonas41%fair 2.44 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.00
Ferroviária34%fair 2.97 · @3.50
2.13Expected goals
1.13Amazonas xG
0.99Ferroviária xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–112%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Amazonas 1.1 – 1.0 Ferroviária expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amazonas to win✗
41%
2.44
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amazonas / FT Amazonas✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.39
–
Form
Amazonas – last 6
LDWWLL
16 May
@ Floresta
2–3
L
29 Apr
@ Monte Roraima
2–2
D
19 Apr
vs Maranhão
2–0
W
16 Apr
vs Porto Velho
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Remo
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Águia de Marabá
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ferroviária – last 6
WLDDDW
17 May
vs Brusque
1–0
W
13 May
vs Juventus
1–2
L
7 May
@ Juventus
0–0
D
30 Apr
vs Ituano
1–1
D
28 Apr
vs Guarani Campinas
2–2
D
23 Apr
@ Ituano
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amazonas and Ferroviária.
What is the prediction for Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
On our numbers Amazonas have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ferroviária 34%.
How many goals will there be in Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
Our predicted score is Amazonas 1–0 Ferroviária, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Amazonas vs Ferroviária?
Amazonas vs Ferroviária (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
