Value bet: Brusque to win @ 1.68 – our chance 64% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrusque to win ✓64% · @1.68
Double chanceBrusque or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.06
Brusque vs Anápolis preview and prediction
The match
Brusque host Anápolis in the Serie C on Sunday 24 May, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT). Brusque are 3rd with 7 points from 6 games, while Anápolis sit 18th on 19 points. A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Brusque's last 4: LWWL Most recently they lost to Ferroviária 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Anápolis's last 5: WDWLL Most recently they beat Rio Branco ES 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Brusque and 0.7 for Anápolis. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Brusque 64%, draw 22%, Anápolis 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Brusque to win at 1.68 – 64% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Brusque 1–0 Anápolis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brusque64%fair 1.56 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.35
Anápolis14%fair 7.14 · @4.80
2.56Expected goals
1.84Brusque xG
0.72Anápolis xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Brusque 1.8 – 0.7 Anápolis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brusque to win✓
64%
1.56
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Brusque or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Brusque ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brusque / FT Brusque✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.06
–
Form
Brusque – last 4
LWWL
17 May
@ Ferroviária
0–1
L
10 May
vs Ypiranga-RS
3–0
W
21 Apr
@ Maringá
3–2
W
22 Feb
@ Chapecoense-sc
0–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Anápolis – last 6
WDWLLW
22 May
vs Rio Branco ES
3–0
W
17 May
vs Barra
1–1
D
29 Apr
vs Cuiaba
4–0
W
18 Apr
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Gama
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Porto Vitória
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brusque and Anápolis.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Brusque vs Anápolis?
On our numbers Brusque have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Anápolis 14%.
How many goals will there be in Brusque vs Anápolis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brusque vs Anápolis?
Our predicted score is Brusque 1–0 Anápolis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Brusque vs Anápolis?
Brusque vs Anápolis (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
