Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Barra to win @ 2.70 – our chance 44% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBarra to win ✗44% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.70
Anápolis vs Barra preview and prediction
The match
Anápolis host Barra in the Serie C on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jonas Duarte. Anápolis are 18th with 19 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Barra sit 17th on 21 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Anápolis's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Cuiaba 4–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Barra's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Corinthians 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Anápolis and 1.3 for Barra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 38%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Anápolis 31%, draw 24%, Barra 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Barra to win at 2.70 – 44% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Anápolis 1–1 Barra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Anápolis31%fair 3.18 · @2.70
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.80
Barra44%fair 2.25 · @2.70
2.28Expected goals
1.01Anápolis xG
1.27Barra xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Anápolis 1.0 – 1.3 Barra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barra to win✗
44%
2.25
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barra / FT Barra✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.70
–
Form
Anápolis – last 6
WLLWWL
29 Apr
vs Cuiaba
4–0
W
18 Apr
@ Ypiranga-RS
0–3
L
15 Apr
@ Gama
1–2
L
8 Apr
vs Porto Vitória
2–0
W
29 Mar
vs Tocantinópolis
2–0
W
27 Mar
@ Atletico Goianiense
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Barra – last 6
LWLWLD
14 May
@ Corinthians
0–1
L
5 May
@ Figueirense
3–0
W
22 Apr
vs Corinthians
0–1
L
12 Apr
vs Maranhão
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Botafogo PB
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ Camboriú
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anápolis and Barra.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Anápolis vs Barra?
On our numbers Anápolis have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Barra 44%.
How many goals will there be in Anápolis vs Barra?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anápolis vs Barra?
Our predicted score is Anápolis 1–1 Barra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Anápolis vs Barra?
Anápolis vs Barra (Serie C) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jonas Duarte.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
