Value bet: Deportivo Maldonado to win @ 2.72 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✗41% · @2.72
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado preview and prediction
The match
Wanderers host Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División Apertura on Saturday 7 March, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera. Wanderers are 10th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Maldonado sit 4th on 22 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Wanderers and 1.4 for Deportivo Maldonado. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Maldonado to win at 2.72 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Wanderers 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Wanderers34%fair 2.90 · @2.54
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.05
Deportivo Maldonado41%fair 2.44 · @2.72
2.69Expected goals
1.27Wanderers xG
1.41Deportivo Maldonado xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Wanderers 1.3 – 1.4 Deportivo Maldonado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maldonado to win✗
41%
2.44
2.72 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Form
Wanderers – last 2
WL
1 Mar
@ Central Espanol
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Atletico Torque
0–4
L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maldonado – last 2
WL
3 Mar
vs Juventud
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Penarol
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wanderers and Deportivo Maldonado.
What is the prediction for Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
On our numbers Wanderers have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Deportivo Maldonado 41%.
How many goals will there be in Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our predicted score is Wanderers 1–1 Deportivo Maldonado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Victor Viera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
