America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 52% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica Mineiro to win ✗67% · @1.18
Double chanceAmerica Mineiro or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT preview and prediction
The match
TirolCEFAT travel to face America Mineiro in the Copa Do Brasil on Thursday 5 March (01:30 WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for America Mineiro and 0.8 for TirolCEFAT. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 52% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: America Mineiro 67%, draw 19%, TirolCEFAT 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 52% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: America Mineiro 2–0 TirolCEFAT. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America Mineiro67%fair 1.48 · @1.18
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @5.60
TirolCEFAT13%fair 7.46 · @15.50
3.00Expected goals
2.15America Mineiro xG
0.84TirolCEFAT xG
52%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 2.2 – 0.8 TirolCEFAT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America Mineiro to win✗
67%
1.48
1.18
Double chance
America Mineiro or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Half-time result
America Mineiro ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America Mineiro / FT America Mineiro✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Form
America Mineiro – last 1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico-MG
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
TirolCEFAT
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and TirolCEFAT.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and TirolCEFAT 13%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 2–0 TirolCEFAT, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT?
America Mineiro vs TirolCEFAT (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.