Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultSport Recife to win ✗65% · @1.59
Double chanceSport Recife or draw ✓84% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Desportiva ES take on Sport Recife on Thursday 5 March, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estádio Kleber Andrade.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Desportiva ES and 1.9 for Sport Recife. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Desportiva ES 16%, draw 20%, Sport Recife 65%.
Safer route: Sport Recife or draw (84%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Desportiva ES 0–2 Sport Recife. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Desportiva ES16%fair 6.39 · @5.50
Draw20%fair 5.10 · @3.60
Sport Recife65%fair 1.54 · @1.59
2.73Expected goals
0.80Desportiva ES xG
1.93Sport Recife xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Desportiva ES 0.8 – 1.9 Sport Recife expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✗
65%
1.54
1.59
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Sport Recife ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Desportiva ES – last 1
D
28 Feb
@ Vilavelhense
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sport Recife
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Desportiva ES and Sport Recife.
What is the prediction for Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
On our numbers Desportiva ES have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sport Recife 65%.
How many goals will there be in Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
Our predicted score is Desportiva ES 0–2 Sport Recife, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife?
Desportiva ES vs Sport Recife (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Kleber Andrade.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Manauara3
AO Itabaiana1
America Mineiro1
TirolCEFAT1