Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 41% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗41% · @3.20
Double chanceManauara or draw ✓76% · @1.50
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗12% · fair 8.09
Manauara vs AO Itabaiana preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Manauara take on AO Itabaiana on Thursday 5 March, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Arena da Amazonia.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.5 for Manauara and 0.9 for AO Itabaiana. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manauara 35%, draw 41%, AO Itabaiana 24%.
Safer route: Manauara or draw (76%) at 1.50.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 41% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Manauara or draw – a 76% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.31, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Manauara 1–0 AO Itabaiana. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manauara35%fair 2.83 · @2.72
Draw41%fair 2.43 · @3.20
AO Itabaiana24%fair 4.24 · @2.45
2.31Expected goals
1.45Manauara xG
0.86AO Itabaiana xG
52%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–010%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Manauara 1.5 – 0.9 AO Itabaiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
41%
2.43
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Manauara or draw✓
76%
1.31
1.50 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Manauara / FT Manauara✓
30%
3.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
12%
8.09
–
Form
Manauara – last 2
WD
26 Feb
vs JC
3–2
W
19 Feb
@ Amazonas
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
AO Itabaiana – last 2
WW
26 Feb
@ Confiança
2–1
W
21 Feb
vs Falcon
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Manauara and AO Itabaiana.
What is the prediction for Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
Our pick is Manauara or draw with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
On our numbers Manauara have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 41% and AO Itabaiana 24%.
How many goals will there be in Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
Our predicted score is Manauara 1–0 AO Itabaiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Manauara vs AO Itabaiana?
Manauara vs AO Itabaiana (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 5 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena da Amazonia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
America Mineiro1
TirolCEFAT1
Desportiva ES0
Sport Recife0