Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.20 – our chance 52% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHungary to win ✓68% · @1.25
Double chanceHungary or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Hungary vs Kazakhstan preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Hungary take on Kazakhstan on Tuesday 9 June, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Nagyerdei Stadion.
Form guide
Kazakhstan's last 3: DWW Most recently they drew with Armenia 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Hungary and 0.5 for Kazakhstan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.20 – 52% on our numbers against 45% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.39, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hungary 1–0 Kazakhstan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hungary68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @4.80
Kazakhstan12%fair 8.31 · @10.25
2.25Expected goals
1.73Hungary xG
0.52Kazakhstan xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–016%
0–011%
1–19%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Hungary 1.7 – 0.5 Kazakhstan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hungary to win✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Double chance
Hungary or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.95
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.20 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.48 ▲
Half-time result
Hungary ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hungary / FT Hungary✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.20
–
Form
Hungary – last 2
WD
5 Jun
vs Finland
2–1
W
31 Mar
vs Greece
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kazakhstan – last 3
DWW
6 Jun
@ Armenia
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Comoros
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Namibia
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hungary and Kazakhstan.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Hungary vs Kazakhstan?
On our numbers Hungary have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Kazakhstan 12%.
How many goals will there be in Hungary vs Kazakhstan?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hungary vs Kazakhstan?
Our predicted score is Hungary 1–0 Kazakhstan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hungary vs Kazakhstan?
Hungary vs Kazakhstan (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 9 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Nagyerdei Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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