Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗61% · @1.49
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.19
Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island preview and prediction
The match
Shandong Luneng host Qingdao Youth Island in the Super League on Friday 1 May, with kick-off at 12:35 (WAT) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center. Shandong Luneng are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Qingdao Youth Island sit 8th on 39 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Shandong Luneng's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Qingdao Jonoon 1–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Qingdao Youth Island's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shandong Luneng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Shandong Luneng and 1.0 for Qingdao Youth Island. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 57%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Shandong Luneng 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shandong Luneng61%fair 1.63 · @1.49
Draw18%fair 5.62 · @4.10
Qingdao Youth Island21%fair 4.76 · @5.70
2.85Expected goals
1.89Shandong Luneng xG
0.96Qingdao Youth Island xG
58%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 1.9 – 1.0 Qingdao Youth Island expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✗
61%
1.63
1.49
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.53
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.19
–
Form
Shandong Luneng – last 6
LWDLWW
26 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
1–4
L
21 Apr
@ Tianjin Teda
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Qingdao Youth Island – last 6
DDDLWL
26 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Henan Jianye
0–0
D
17 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–0
D
3 Apr
@ Chengdu Better City
1–5
L
21 Mar
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
1–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shandong Luneng and Qingdao Youth Island.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Qingdao Youth Island 21%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 1–0 Qingdao Youth Island, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island?
Shandong Luneng vs Qingdao Youth Island (Super League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
