Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Henan Jianye or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.14 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Henan Jianye to win @ 1.88 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHenan Jianye to win ✓63% · @1.88
Double chanceHenan Jianye or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.46
Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban preview and prediction
The match
Shenyang Urban travel to Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium in the Super League on Friday 1 May (12:00 WAT) to face Henan Jianye. Henan Jianye are 14th with 28 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Shenyang Urban sit 13th on 29 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Henan Jianye's last 5: LDLDW Most recently they lost to Shanghai Shenhua 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Shenyang Urban's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Sichuan Jiuniu 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Henan Jianye and 0.7 for Shenyang Urban. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Henan Jianye to win at 1.88 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Henan Jianye or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.14, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Henan Jianye 1–0 Shenyang Urban. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Henan Jianye63%fair 1.58 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.50
Shenyang Urban13%fair 7.91 · @3.65
2.44Expected goals
1.77Henan Jianye xG
0.67Shenyang Urban xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Henan Jianye 1.8 – 0.7 Shenyang Urban expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Henan Jianye to win✓
63%
1.58
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Henan Jianye or draw✓
87%
1.14
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.35
Half-time result
Henan Jianye ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Henan Jianye / FT Henan Jianye✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.46
–
Form
Henan Jianye – last 6
LDLDWW
26 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
0–3
L
22 Apr
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Qingdao Jonoon
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Wuhan Three Towns
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
7 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Shenyang Urban – last 6
LLWWLL
26 Apr
@ Sichuan Jiuniu
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
21 Mar
vs Tianjin Teda
3–0
W
14 Mar
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–1
L
7 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Henan Jianye and Shenyang Urban.
What is the prediction for Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
Our pick is Henan Jianye or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
On our numbers Henan Jianye have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Shenyang Urban 13%.
How many goals will there be in Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
Our predicted score is Henan Jianye 1–0 Shenyang Urban, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban?
Henan Jianye vs Shenyang Urban (Super League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
