Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long prediction & analysis
84%
Footrivo pick
Dalian Zhixing or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Dalian Zhixing to win @ 1.90 – our chance 62% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDalian Zhixing to win ✓62% · @1.90
Double chanceDalian Zhixing or draw ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.12
Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long preview and prediction
The match
Dalian Zhixing host Chongqing Tongliang Long in the Super League on Friday 1 May, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium. Dalian Zhixing are 1st with 52 points from 30 games (top of the table), while Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 10th on 36 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Dalian Zhixing's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Yunnan Yukun 1–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with Qingdao Youth Island 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Dalian Zhixing and 0.8 for Chongqing Tongliang Long. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Safer route: Dalian Zhixing or draw (84%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Dalian Zhixing to win at 1.90 – 62% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dalian Zhixing or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Dalian Zhixing 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dalian Zhixing62%fair 1.60 · @1.90
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Chongqing Tongliang Long16%fair 6.35 · @3.90
2.74Expected goals
1.90Dalian Zhixing xG
0.84Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–06%
From our goals model: Dalian Zhixing 1.9 – 0.8 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dalian Zhixing to win✓
62%
1.60
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Dalian Zhixing or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.71
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Dalian Zhixing ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dalian Zhixing / FT Dalian Zhixing✗
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.12
–
Form
Dalian Zhixing – last 6
LWWWWL
26 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
1–3
L
22 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
10 Apr
vs Hangzhou Greentown
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Shandong Luneng
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–0
W
13 Mar
@ Wuhan Three Towns
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 6
DWWWDW
26 Apr
vs Qingdao Youth Island
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–1
W
17 Apr
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Chengdu Better City
3–3
D
14 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dalian Zhixing and Chongqing Tongliang Long.
What is the prediction for Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Dalian Zhixing or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers Dalian Zhixing have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 16%.
How many goals will there be in Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our predicted score is Dalian Zhixing 1–0 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Dalian Zhixing vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Friday 1 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
