Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Luneng prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Shandong Luneng or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Shandong Luneng to win @ 1.88 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✓63% · @1.88
Double chanceShandong Luneng or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.71
Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Luneng preview and prediction
The match
Tianjin Teda host Shandong Luneng in the Super League on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at TEDA Football Stadium. Tianjin Teda are 12th with 31 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Shandong Luneng sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tianjin Teda's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Yunnan Yukun 3–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Shandong Luneng's last 4: DLWW Most recently they drew with SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Shandong Luneng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Tianjin Teda and 1.9 for Shandong Luneng. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tianjin Teda 15%, draw 22%, Shandong Luneng 63%.
Safer route: Shandong Luneng or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Shandong Luneng to win at 1.88 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Shandong Luneng or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Tianjin Teda 0–1 Shandong Luneng. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tianjin Teda15%fair 6.61 · @3.65
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.50
Shandong Luneng63%fair 1.58 · @1.88
2.67Expected goals
0.79Tianjin Teda xG
1.88Shandong Luneng xG
58%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Tianjin Teda 0.8 – 1.9 Shandong Luneng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✓
63%
1.58
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Shandong Luneng or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.42
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.71
–
Form
Tianjin Teda – last 5
WDLLD
17 Apr
@ Yunnan Yukun
3–0
W
12 Apr
vs Qingdao Jonoon
1–1
D
5 Apr
vs Shanghai Shenhua
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Shenyang Urban
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Shandong Luneng – last 4
DLWW
17 Apr
vs SHANGHAI SIPG
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tianjin Teda and Shandong Luneng.
What is the prediction for Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Luneng?
Our pick is Shandong Luneng or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Luneng?
On our numbers Tianjin Teda have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shandong Luneng 63%.
How many goals will there be in Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Luneng?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Luneng?
Our predicted score is Tianjin Teda 0–1 Shandong Luneng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Luneng?
Tianjin Teda vs Shandong Luneng (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at TEDA Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.