Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Beijing Guoan or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Beijing Guoan to win @ 1.88 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✓57% · @1.88
Double chanceBeijing Guoan or draw ✓80% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan preview and prediction
The match
Beijing Guoan travel to Shenzhen Stadium in the Super League on Tuesday 21 April (12:00 WAT) to face Sichuan Jiuniu. Sichuan Jiuniu are 11th with 33 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Beijing Guoan sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sichuan Jiuniu's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Chongqing Tongliang Long 0–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Beijing Guoan's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Hangzhou Greentown 0–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Sichuan Jiuniu and 2.0 for Beijing Guoan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations.
Value angle: Beijing Guoan to win at 1.88 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Beijing Guoan or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.28, above our fair price of 1.25, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Beijing Guoan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sichuan Jiuniu20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.80
Beijing Guoan57%fair 1.75 · @1.88
3.10Expected goals
1.11Sichuan Jiuniu xG
1.99Beijing Guoan xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Sichuan Jiuniu 1.1 – 2.0 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✓
57%
1.75
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Beijing Guoan or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Half-time result
Beijing Guoan ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
36%
2.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Sichuan Jiuniu – last 5
LLWLL
17 Apr
@ Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–2
L
12 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
3–4
L
5 Apr
vs Wuhan Three Towns
5–2
W
21 Mar
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Chengdu Better City
1–5
L
1.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
DLLDLW
17 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
0–0
D
12 Apr
vs Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Wuhan Three Towns
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sichuan Jiuniu and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Beijing Guoan or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Sichuan Jiuniu have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Beijing Guoan 57%.
How many goals will there be in Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Sichuan Jiuniu 1–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan?
Sichuan Jiuniu vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Shenzhen Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
