Value bet: SHANGHAI SIPG to win @ 1.87 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSHANGHAI SIPG to win ✗59% · @1.87
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.23
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chongqing Tongliang Long preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees SHANGHAI SIPG take on Chongqing Tongliang Long on Tuesday 21 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Pudong Football Stadium. SHANGHAI SIPG are 5th with 45 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Chongqing Tongliang Long sit 10th on 36 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
SHANGHAI SIPG's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Shandong Luneng 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Sichuan Jiuniu 2–0 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for SHANGHAI SIPG and 0.9 for Chongqing Tongliang Long. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 56%.
Value angle: SHANGHAI SIPG to win at 1.87 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
SHANGHAI SIPG59%fair 1.69 · @1.87
Draw17%fair 5.92 · @3.70
Chongqing Tongliang Long24%fair 4.15 · @3.55
2.64Expected goals
1.70SHANGHAI SIPG xG
0.94Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: SHANGHAI SIPG 1.7 – 0.9 Chongqing Tongliang Long expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SHANGHAI SIPG to win✗
59%
1.69
1.87 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SHANGHAI SIPG / FT SHANGHAI SIPG✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.23
–
Form
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6
DWLWLL
17 Apr
@ Shandong Luneng
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Qingdao Youth Island
4–1
W
7 Mar
vs Henan Jianye
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 5
WWDWD
17 Apr
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Chengdu Better City
3–3
D
14 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Tianjin Teda
0–0
D
1.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SHANGHAI SIPG and Chongqing Tongliang Long.
What is the prediction for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
On our numbers SHANGHAI SIPG have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Chongqing Tongliang Long 24%.
How many goals will there be in SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
Our predicted score is SHANGHAI SIPG 1–1 Chongqing Tongliang Long, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?
SHANGHAI SIPG vs Chongqing Tongliang Long (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Pudong Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
