Hangzhou Greentown vs Beijing Guoan prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Beijing Guoan to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHangzhou Greentown to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.32
Hangzhou Greentown vs Beijing Guoan preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Hangzhou Greentown take on Beijing Guoan on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Huzhou Olympic Sports Centre. Hangzhou Greentown are 9th with 37 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Beijing Guoan sit 3rd on 50 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Hangzhou Greentown's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Dalian Zhixing 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Beijing Guoan's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Chengdu Better City 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.5 for Hangzhou Greentown and 1.4 for Beijing Guoan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 65%.
Value angle: Beijing Guoan to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Hangzhou Greentown 1–1 Beijing Guoan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hangzhou Greentown42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.45
Beijing Guoan35%fair 2.85 · @3.10
2.91Expected goals
1.54Hangzhou Greentown xG
1.37Beijing Guoan xG
65%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Hangzhou Greentown 1.5 – 1.4 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hangzhou Greentown to win✗
42%
2.37
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.62
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hangzhou Greentown / FT Hangzhou Greentown✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.32
–
Form
Hangzhou Greentown – last 5
LLWDW
10 Apr
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
0–1
L
20 Mar
@ Qingdao Jonoon
4–1
W
14 Mar
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Qingdao Youth Island
2–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
LLDLWW
12 Apr
vs Chengdu Better City
1–2
L
4 Apr
@ Shenyang Urban
1–2
L
21 Mar
vs Shanghai Shenhua
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Shandong Luneng
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ Wuhan Three Towns
2–0
W
1 Mar
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hangzhou Greentown and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Hangzhou Greentown vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Hangzhou Greentown vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Hangzhou Greentown have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Beijing Guoan 35%.
How many goals will there be in Hangzhou Greentown vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hangzhou Greentown vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Hangzhou Greentown 1–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Hangzhou Greentown vs Beijing Guoan?
Hangzhou Greentown vs Beijing Guoan (Super League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Huzhou Olympic Sports Centre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
