Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win @ 1.88 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultChongqing Tongliang Long to win ✓59% · @1.88
Double chanceChongqing Tongliang Long or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.96
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Chongqing Tongliang Long take on Sichuan Jiuniu on Friday 17 April, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT) at Tongliang Long Stadium. Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Sichuan Jiuniu sit 11th on 33 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Chongqing Tongliang Long's last 4: WDWD Most recently they beat Hangzhou Greentown 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sichuan Jiuniu's last 4: LWLL Most recently they lost to Yunnan Yukun 3–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Chongqing Tongliang Long arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.0 for Sichuan Jiuniu. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 53% and both teams to score at 57%.
Safer route: Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Chongqing Tongliang Long to win at 1.88 – 59% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Sichuan Jiuniu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long59%fair 1.70 · @1.88
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.35
Sichuan Jiuniu19%fair 5.30 · @3.90
2.97Expected goals
1.95Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
1.02Sichuan Jiuniu xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–010%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 2.0 – 1.0 Sichuan Jiuniu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chongqing Tongliang Long to win✓
59%
1.70
1.88 ▲
Double chance
Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.30
Half-time result
Chongqing Tongliang Long ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chongqing Tongliang Long / FT Chongqing Tongliang Long✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.96
–
Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 4
WDWD
5 Apr
@ Hangzhou Greentown
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs Chengdu Better City
3–3
D
14 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Tianjin Teda
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Sichuan Jiuniu – last 4
LWLL
12 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
3–4
L
5 Apr
vs Wuhan Three Towns
5–2
W
21 Mar
@ Qingdao Youth Island
0–1
L
6 Mar
@ Chengdu Better City
1–5
L
2.3Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Sichuan Jiuniu.
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Our pick is Chongqing Tongliang Long or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sichuan Jiuniu 19%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 1–1 Sichuan Jiuniu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Sichuan Jiuniu (Super League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
