Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Shandong Luneng to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultShandong Luneng to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.38
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG preview and prediction
The match
SHANGHAI SIPG travel to Jinan Olympic Sports Center in the Super League on Friday 17 April (12:35 WAT) to face Shandong Luneng. Shandong Luneng are 4th with 47 points from 30 games (in the top four), while SHANGHAI SIPG sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Shandong Luneng's last 3: LWW Most recently they lost to Dalian Zhixing 1–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
SHANGHAI SIPG's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Yunnan Yukun 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Shandong Luneng arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Shandong Luneng and 1.1 for SHANGHAI SIPG. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Shandong Luneng to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.58, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shandong Luneng 2–1 SHANGHAI SIPG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shandong Luneng63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw13%fair 7.67 · @4.00
SHANGHAI SIPG24%fair 4.22 · @3.95
3.08Expected goals
2.01Shandong Luneng xG
1.07SHANGHAI SIPG xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Shandong Luneng 2.0 – 1.1 SHANGHAI SIPG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win✗
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
87%
1.15
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.63
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.77
Half-time result
Shandong Luneng ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Form
Shandong Luneng – last 3
LWW
4 Apr
vs Dalian Zhixing
1–2
L
14 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
3–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6
WLWLLD
4 Apr
vs Yunnan Yukun
2–1
W
20 Mar
@ Dalian Zhixing
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Qingdao Youth Island
4–1
W
7 Mar
vs Henan Jianye
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
0–2
L
18 Feb
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shandong Luneng and SHANGHAI SIPG.
What is the prediction for Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our pick is Shandong Luneng to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
On our numbers Shandong Luneng have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 13% and SHANGHAI SIPG 24%.
How many goals will there be in Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our predicted score is Shandong Luneng 2–1 SHANGHAI SIPG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Shandong Luneng vs SHANGHAI SIPG (Super League) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Jinan Olympic Sports Center.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
