Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Luneng prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Yunnan Yukun to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultShandong Luneng to win46% · @2.04
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score69% · @1.30
GoalsOver 1.5 goals84% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.25
Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Luneng preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Yunnan Yukun take on Shandong Luneng on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium. Yunnan Yukun are 6th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Shandong Luneng sit 4th on 47 points (in the top four).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.5 for Yunnan Yukun and 1.8 for Shandong Luneng. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Yunnan Yukun to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Shandong Luneng. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yunnan Yukun34%fair 2.97 · @3.25
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.45
Shandong Luneng46%fair 2.19 · @2.04
3.34Expected goals
1.53Yunnan Yukun xG
1.81Shandong Luneng xG
69%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Yunnan Yukun 1.5 – 1.8 Shandong Luneng expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shandong Luneng to win
46%
2.19
2.04
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.80
Half-time result
Level at half-time
37%
2.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shandong Luneng / FT Shandong Luneng
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.25
–
Form
Yunnan Yukun – last 2
LW
15 Mar
@ Henan Jianye
1–2
L
7 Mar
vs Qingdao Jonoon
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Shandong Luneng – last 2
WW
14 Mar
vs Beijing Guoan
2–1
W
7 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
3–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Yunnan Yukun and Shandong Luneng.
What is the prediction for Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Luneng?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Luneng?
On our numbers Yunnan Yukun have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Shandong Luneng 46%.
How many goals will there be in Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Luneng?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Luneng?
Our predicted score is Yunnan Yukun 1–2 Shandong Luneng, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Luneng?
Yunnan Yukun vs Shandong Luneng (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
