Value bet: Chengdu Better City to win @ 1.78 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultChengdu Better City to win ✗61% · @1.78
Double chanceChengdu Better City or draw ✓87% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗75% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Better City preview and prediction
The match
The Super League sees Chongqing Tongliang Long take on Chengdu Better City on Saturday 21 March, kicking off at 12:35 (WAT) at Tongliang Long Stadium. Chongqing Tongliang Long are 10th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Chengdu Better City sit 2nd on 52 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Chengdu Better City's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Qingdao Jonoon 1–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.7 for Chongqing Tongliang Long and 1.7 for Chengdu Better City. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chongqing Tongliang Long 13%, draw 25%, Chengdu Better City 61%.
Safer route: Chengdu Better City or draw (87%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Chengdu Better City to win at 1.78 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Chongqing Tongliang Long 0–1 Chengdu Better City. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chongqing Tongliang Long13%fair 7.43 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.50
Chengdu Better City61%fair 1.64 · @1.78
2.32Expected goals
0.65Chongqing Tongliang Long xG
1.67Chengdu Better City xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–214%
1–111%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Chongqing Tongliang Long 0.7 – 1.7 Chengdu Better City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chengdu Better City to win✗
61%
1.64
1.78 ▲
Double chance
Chengdu Better City or draw✓
87%
1.16
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chengdu Better City / FT Chengdu Better City✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.20
–
Form
Chongqing Tongliang Long – last 2
WD
14 Mar
vs Shenyang Urban
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Tianjin Teda
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Chengdu Better City – last 3
WWL
15 Mar
vs Qingdao Jonoon
1–0
W
6 Mar
vs Sichuan Jiuniu
5–1
W
17 Feb
@ Machida Zelvia
2–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chongqing Tongliang Long and Chengdu Better City.
What is the prediction for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Better City?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Better City?
On our numbers Chongqing Tongliang Long have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chengdu Better City 61%.
How many goals will there be in Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Better City?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Better City?
Our predicted score is Chongqing Tongliang Long 0–1 Chengdu Better City, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Better City?
Chongqing Tongliang Long vs Chengdu Better City (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 21 March 2026 at 12:35 (West Africa Time) at Tongliang Long Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
