Hungary vs Finland prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Hungary 1.6 – 0.5 Finland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Hungary are clear favourites at home with a 66% chance of winning, against 15% for Finland.
Hungary have taken 1 points from their last 1 matches (0W 1D 0L), scoring 0.0 and conceding 0.0 per game. Finland have 3 points from their last 2 (1W 0D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.1 goals (1.6 for Hungary, 0.5 for Finland). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 58% likely. Most likely scores: 1–0 (19%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (12%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 78% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.29.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Hungary to win ✓ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| Double chance | Hungary or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 51% | 1.98 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 68% | 1.48 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.30 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 46% | 2.18 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Hungary / FT Hungary ✓ | 39% | 2.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 19% | 5.32 | – |
Form
Hungary – last 1
| 31 Mar | vs Greece | 0–0 | D |
Finland – last 2
| 31 May | @ Germany | 0–4 | L |
| 27 Mar | @ New Zealand | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hungary and Finland.
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Montenegro2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Hungary vs Finland?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hungary vs Finland?
On our numbers Hungary have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Finland 15%.
How many goals will there be in Hungary vs Finland?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Hungary vs Finland?
Hungary vs Finland (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 5 June 2026 at 18:45 (West Africa Time) at Puskás Aréna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.