Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Quwa Al Jawiya to win ✓41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗66% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.06
Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Al Talaba take on Al Quwa Al Jawiya on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 21:15 (WAT) at Al Talaba Stadium. Al Talaba are 11th with 16 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Al Quwa Al Jawiya sit 14th on 13 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.0 for Al Talaba and 1.1 for Al Quwa Al Jawiya. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Talaba 35%, draw 25%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 41%.
Value angle: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Al Talaba 0–1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Talaba35%fair 2.86 · @2.40
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Al Quwa Al Jawiya41%fair 2.47 · @2.75
2.01Expected goals
0.95Al Talaba xG
1.06Al Quwa Al Jawiya xG
44%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–013%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Al Talaba 1.0 – 1.1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win✓
41%
2.47
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.06
–
Form
Al Talaba – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Al Karkh
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Quwa Al Jawiya – last 1
W
13 Feb
vs Newroz
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Talaba and Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
What is the prediction for Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
On our numbers Al Talaba have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Quwa Al Jawiya 41%.
How many goals will there be in Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Our predicted score is Al Talaba 0–1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?
Al Talaba vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Al Talaba Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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