Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNewroz to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceNewroz or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.33
Newroz vs Al Najaf preview and prediction
The match
The Iraqi League sees Newroz take on Al Najaf on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Newroz and 0.6 for Al Najaf. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 40%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Newroz 66%, draw 22%, Al Najaf 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Newroz to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.52, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newroz 1–0 Al Najaf. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newroz66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.20
Al Najaf12%fair 8.48 · @5.00
2.44Expected goals
1.82Newroz xG
0.63Al Najaf xG
40%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Newroz 1.8 – 0.6 Al Najaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Newroz to win✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Newroz or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Newroz ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Newroz / FT Newroz✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.33
–
Form
Newroz – last 1
L
13 Feb
@ Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Al Najaf
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newroz and Al Najaf.
Our pick is Newroz to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Newroz vs Al Najaf?
On our numbers Newroz have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Najaf 12%.
How many goals will there be in Newroz vs Al Najaf?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newroz vs Al Najaf?
Our predicted score is Newroz 1–0 Al Najaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Newroz vs Al Najaf?
Newroz vs Al Najaf (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
