Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gharraf to win @ 1.91 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultGharraf to win ✓64% · @1.91
Double chanceGharraf or draw ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.18
Gharraf vs Duhok preview and prediction
The match
Gharraf host Duhok in the Iraqi League on Friday 20 February, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Gharraf are 13th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Duhok sit 8th on 18 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.5 for Gharraf and 0.5 for Duhok. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gharraf 64%, draw 22%, Duhok 14%.
Safer route: Gharraf or draw (86%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Gharraf to win at 1.91 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gharraf or draw – a 86% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.16, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Gharraf 1–0 Duhok. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gharraf64%fair 1.57 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.10
Duhok14%fair 7.11 · @3.75
2.08Expected goals
1.55Gharraf xG
0.53Duhok xG
40%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gharraf 1.5 – 0.5 Duhok expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gharraf to win✓
64%
1.57
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Gharraf or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gharraf / FT Gharraf✓
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.18
–
Form
Gharraf – last 1
W
13 Feb
@ Al Minaa Basra
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Duhok – last 1
D
13 Feb
vs Mosul
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gharraf and Duhok.
Our pick is Gharraf or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gharraf vs Duhok?
On our numbers Gharraf have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Duhok 14%.
How many goals will there be in Gharraf vs Duhok?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gharraf vs Duhok?
Our predicted score is Gharraf 1–0 Duhok, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Gharraf vs Duhok?
Gharraf vs Duhok (Iraqi League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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