Value bet: Ethiopia Bunna to win @ 2.80 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗39% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗61% · fair 1.63
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 6.02
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna preview and prediction
The match
Ethiopia Bunna travel to face Mebrat Hayl in the Premier League on Sunday 8 March (16:00 WAT). Mebrat Hayl are 8th with 7 points from 5 games (in the top half), while Ethiopia Bunna sit 14th on 4 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mebrat Hayl's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Arba Minch Kenema 4–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.8 for Mebrat Hayl and 0.9 for Ethiopia Bunna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Ethiopia Bunna to win at 2.80 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mebrat Hayl34%fair 2.98 · @2.70
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.70
Ethiopia Bunna39%fair 2.55 · @2.80
1.68Expected goals
0.79Mebrat Hayl xG
0.89Ethiopia Bunna xG
39%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
0–117%
1–015%
1–113%
0–27%
1–26%
From our goals model: Mebrat Hayl 0.8 – 0.9 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Bunna to win✗
39%
2.55
2.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
54%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
6.02
–
Form
Mebrat Hayl – last 3
WLD
4 Mar
@ Arba Minch Kenema
4–1
W
27 Feb
vs Hadiya Hosaena
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Sheger Ketema
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Bunna – last 2
WW
4 Mar
vs Bahardar
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Negelle Arsi
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mebrat Hayl and Ethiopia Bunna.
What is the prediction for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
On our numbers Mebrat Hayl have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Ethiopia Bunna 39%.
How many goals will there be in Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 39% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our predicted score is Mebrat Hayl 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Mebrat Hayl vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
