Value bet: Sheger Ketema to win @ 3.00 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSheger Ketema to win ✓41% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.82
Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis preview and prediction
The match
Kedus Giorgis travel to face Sheger Ketema in the Premier League on Sunday 8 March (13:00 WAT). Sheger Ketema are 12th with 5 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Kedus Giorgis sit 9th on 6 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sheger Ketema's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Ethiopian Medhin 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Sheger Ketema and 0.8 for Kedus Giorgis. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 77% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Sheger Ketema to win at 3.00 – 41% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Sheger Ketema 0–0 Kedus Giorgis. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sheger Ketema41%fair 2.44 · @3.00
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @2.45
Kedus Giorgis32%fair 3.11 · @2.60
1.67Expected goals
0.91Sheger Ketema xG
0.76Kedus Giorgis xG
43%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–019%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Sheger Ketema 0.9 – 0.8 Kedus Giorgis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheger Ketema to win✓
41%
2.44
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.82
–
Form
Sheger Ketema – last 3
DDD
3 Mar
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Adama Kenema
3–3
D
22 Feb
vs Mebrat Hayl
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kedus Giorgis – last 2
DL
3 Mar
vs Negelle Arsi
0–0
D
25 Feb
@ Ethiopian Medhin
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheger Ketema and Kedus Giorgis.
What is the prediction for Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
On our numbers Sheger Ketema have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Kedus Giorgis 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Our predicted score is Sheger Ketema 0–0 Kedus Giorgis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis?
Sheger Ketema vs Kedus Giorgis (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
