Value bet: Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win @ 3.80 – our chance 31% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMekelakeya to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.62
Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni preview and prediction
The match
Welwalo Adigrat Uni travel to face Mekelakeya in the Premier League on Sunday 8 March (13:00 WAT). Mekelakeya are 2nd with 10 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni sit 17th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Mekelakeya's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Suhul Shire 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.1 for Mekelakeya and 0.9 for Welwalo Adigrat Uni. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mekelakeya 43%, draw 25%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Welwalo Adigrat Uni to win at 3.80 – 31% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.30, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mekelakeya 1–1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mekelakeya43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.60
Welwalo Adigrat Uni31%fair 3.20 · @3.80
2.00Expected goals
1.12Mekelakeya xG
0.88Welwalo Adigrat Uni xG
51%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Mekelakeya 1.1 – 0.9 Welwalo Adigrat Uni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mekelakeya to win✗
43%
2.31
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mekelakeya / FT Mekelakeya✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.62
–
Form
Mekelakeya – last 3
WDL
3 Mar
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2–0
W
26 Feb
vs Mekelle Kenema
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Welayta Dicha
3–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Welwalo Adigrat Uni – last 3
WWD
3 Mar
vs Suhul Shire
1–0
W
27 Feb
@ Fasil Ketema
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Sidama Bunna
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mekelakeya and Welwalo Adigrat Uni.
What is the prediction for Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.30.
Who will win Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
On our numbers Mekelakeya have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 31%.
How many goals will there be in Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Our predicted score is Mekelakeya 1–1 Welwalo Adigrat Uni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Mekelakeya vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
