Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.85 – our chance 59% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +69%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✓59% · @2.85
Double chanceMorocco or draw ✓81% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✓13% · fair 7.41
Morocco vs Ecuador preview and prediction
The match
Ecuador travel to Wanda Metropolitano in the Friendlies on Friday 27 March (21:15 WAT) to face Morocco.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Morocco and 1.0 for Ecuador. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Morocco 21%, draw 59%, Ecuador 19%.
Safer route: Morocco or draw (81%) at 1.33.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Draw at 2.85 – 59% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Morocco or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Morocco 1–1 Ecuador. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Morocco21%fair 4.75 · @2.60
Draw59%fair 1.68 · @2.85
Ecuador19%fair 5.13 · @2.80
2.11Expected goals
1.07Morocco xG
1.04Ecuador xG
53%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Morocco 1.1 – 1.0 Ecuador expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✓
59%
1.68
2.85 ▲
Double chance
Morocco or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✓
13%
7.41
–
Form
Morocco
No recent results on record.
Ecuador
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Morocco and Ecuador.
Our pick is Morocco or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Morocco vs Ecuador?
On our numbers Morocco have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 59% and Ecuador 19%.
How many goals will there be in Morocco vs Ecuador?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Ecuador?
Our predicted score is Morocco 1–1 Ecuador, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Morocco vs Ecuador?
Morocco vs Ecuador (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Wanda Metropolitano.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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