Altona Magic vs South Melbourne prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: South Melbourne to win @ 2.35 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Melbourne to win ✓47% · @2.35
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.86
Altona Magic vs South Melbourne preview and prediction
The match
Altona Magic host South Melbourne in the Victoria NPL on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 08:15 (WAT) at Paisley Park.
Form guide
South Melbourne's last 4: WDLW Most recently they beat South Island United 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Altona Magic and 1.7 for South Melbourne. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Altona Magic 32%, draw 21%, South Melbourne 47%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: South Melbourne to win at 2.35 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Altona Magic 1–1 South Melbourne. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Altona Magic32%fair 3.09 · @2.62
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.40
South Melbourne47%fair 2.13 · @2.35
3.06Expected goals
1.36Altona Magic xG
1.70South Melbourne xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
1–06%
From our goals model: Altona Magic 1.4 – 1.7 South Melbourne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Melbourne to win✓
47%
2.13
2.35 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Melbourne / FT South Melbourne✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.86
–
Form
Altona Magic – last 2
LW
20 Feb
@ Oakleigh Cannons
1–3
L
13 Feb
@ Hume City
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
South Melbourne – last 4
WDLW
27 Feb
vs South Island United
4–1
W
21 Feb
vs Auckland FC 2
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Hume City
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Avondale
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Altona Magic and South Melbourne.
What is the prediction for Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
On our numbers Altona Magic have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and South Melbourne 47%.
How many goals will there be in Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
Our predicted score is Altona Magic 1–1 South Melbourne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Altona Magic vs South Melbourne?
Altona Magic vs South Melbourne (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 08:15 (West Africa Time) at Paisley Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · Paisley Park
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens0
Avondale5
Green Gully0
Sunshine Georgies2
Dandenong Thunder1