Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 51% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSunshine Georgies to win ✓48% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.20
Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder preview and prediction
The match
Dandenong Thunder travel to City Vista Recreation Reserve in the Victoria NPL on Saturday 28 February (08:00 WAT) to face Sunshine Georgies.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Sunshine Georgies and 0.9 for Dandenong Thunder. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 51% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.35 – 51% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.40, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sunshine Georgies 1–0 Dandenong Thunder. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sunshine Georgies48%fair 2.10 · @2.45
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.50
Dandenong Thunder32%fair 3.12 · @2.45
2.18Expected goals
1.25Sunshine Georgies xG
0.94Dandenong Thunder xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Sunshine Georgies 1.2 – 0.9 Dandenong Thunder expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sunshine Georgies to win✓
48%
2.10
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.35 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.53 ▲
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sunshine Georgies / FT Sunshine Georgies✗
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
8%
12.20
–
Form
Sunshine Georgies – last 2
WD
20 Feb
@ Green Gully
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Bentleigh Greens
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Dandenong Thunder – last 2
LD
21 Feb
vs Heidelberg United
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Melbourne City II
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sunshine Georgies and Dandenong Thunder.
What is the prediction for Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?
On our numbers Sunshine Georgies have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dandenong Thunder 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?
Our predicted score is Sunshine Georgies 1–0 Dandenong Thunder, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder?
Sunshine Georgies vs Dandenong Thunder (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at City Vista Recreation Reserve.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia · City Vista Recreation Reserve
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens0
Avondale5
Green Gully0
Altona Magic1
South Melbourne2