Value bet: Bentleigh Greens to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHume City to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.48
Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens preview and prediction
The match
The Victoria NPL sees Hume City take on Bentleigh Greens on Saturday 28 February, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Hume City and 1.1 for Bentleigh Greens. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hume City 45%, draw 21%, Bentleigh Greens 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Bentleigh Greens to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Hume City 1–1 Bentleigh Greens. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hume City45%fair 2.21 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Bentleigh Greens34%fair 2.97 · @3.20
2.50Expected goals
1.37Hume City xG
1.13Bentleigh Greens xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Hume City 1.4 – 1.1 Bentleigh Greens expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hume City to win✓
45%
2.21
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hume City / FT Hume City✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.48
–
Form
Hume City – last 2
WL
19 Feb
@ South Melbourne
2–1
W
13 Feb
vs Altona Magic
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bentleigh Greens – last 2
WD
20 Feb
vs Avondale
2–0
W
14 Feb
@ Sunshine Georgies
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hume City and Bentleigh Greens.
What is the prediction for Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
On our numbers Hume City have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Bentleigh Greens 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our predicted score is Hume City 1–1 Bentleigh Greens, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens?
Hume City vs Bentleigh Greens (Victoria NPL) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Victoria NPL · Australia
Avondale5
Green Gully0
Sunshine Georgies2
Dandenong Thunder1
Altona Magic1
South Melbourne2